Thursday, 21 May 2009

Impact of global financial crisis on the economy of Bangladesh

Since the collapse of the United States sub prime mortgage market and the subsequent international global crisis, many developed and developing countries have been plunged into deep recession. Bangladesh though has found itself in a slightly different position. Its economy is not so dependent on international capital and foreign investment, which has helped to lower the immediate impact of the crisis.
Despite this the Bangladesh government has formed a high-level technical committee and taskforce to monitor and advise on the crisis, and ministries and financial institutions have taken several precautionary measures. Importantly in October 2008 Bangladesh Bank withdrew 90 % of its total investment from foreign banks which has helped to further shield the economy, so that it is only now that the affects of the crisis are being felt.Additionally the Bank has taken measures to stabilise the exchange rate, provide extra liquidity to the financial sector and raised the limit on private foreign borrowing. It has also relaxed the conditions for opening fresh letters of credit (L/Cs).
In February 2009, the Finance Minister AMA Muhith admitted that the global financial crisis was having an impact on trade in Bangladesh. In April the Government announced their stimulus package with 65 million dollars directed to assist exports. This though falls short of the 877 million dollars needed according to industry experts (Yahoo news, 2009).
During 2008, 57% of Bangladesh’s economy was involved in the global economy and this is increasing. This indicates that the country might be progressively more affected should the crisis continue for an extended period. Trade, migration and remittance are the most likely sectors to be impacted as 43.3% of Bangladesh’s openness is related to trade and 10 % to remittance. Overseas Development Assistance (ODA) and Foreign Direct Investment (FDI) may also be vulnerable in the longer term but to a lesser extent due to only 3.2% integration with the global economy (CPD and ILO, 2009).
Whilst the longer term nature of FDI commitments has kept the net inflow of investment relatively stable, the sluggish growth of rich countries may eventually slow it down. Aid receipts (excluding dollars) are providing less in local currency due to unfavourable exchange rates and future aid commitments from donors may be in jeopardy if the downturn continues.

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